The Conservatives are now the favourites to win the election

According to 338Canada, Erin O’Toole and the Conservatives are now officially the favourites to win the upcoming federal election in Canada on Sept. 20, with 33.9% of the popular vote.

There is currently a 59.5% chance that the Conservatives will obtain the most number of seats; the Liberals’ odds of winning have been reduced to 39.7%. When Justin Trudeau called the election, the Liberals were projected to win a majority, with 36% of the popular vote. They are now projected to win 31.7%.

The latest seat projection has the Conservatives winning 146 seats, and the Liberals winning 134.

In 2019, the Conservatives obtained 34.3% of the popular vote, winning 121 seats.

338Canada federal update | August 29, 2021

Details → https://t.co/cNB4x2H10u

Find your riding → https://t.co/W797rPu6zX#Elxn44 pic.twitter.com/c1OX4hBL3J

— Philippe J. Fournier (@338Canada) August 30, 2021

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