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Liberals 35% (-1), Conservatives 30% (+1), NDP 20% (+1): LEGER

Justin Trudeau and the Liberals currently have an 89% chance of winning the election.

According to the latest federal election polling in Canada by Leger, the Liberals have decreased 1 point to 35% in overall voting attention, while the Conservatives and NDP have both increased one point to 30% and 20%, respectively. The poll was conducted Aug. 13 to 15. The last federal voting intentions update was from July 30 to Aug. 1.

According to the CBC Poll Tracker, there is a 34% probability that Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party of Canada will win a majority and a 89% probability that they will win the election.

Liberals 35% (-1), Conservatives 30% (+1), NDP 20% (+1): Federal Voting Intentions in Canada, Leger

The poll also confirmed that 42% of voters say they may change their mind before Election Day.

Other key findings:

  • “50% of Canadians think it’s time for another party to govern, regardless of whether they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the Trudeau government.
  • “Canadians are nearly evenly split on whether the Liberal Party of Canada (26%) or the Conservative Party of Canada (24%) is best able to lead Canada’s post-pandemic economic recovery.
  • “62% of Canadians indicate they will closely or very closely follow what the parties and leaders say during their election campaigns.
  • “Given the pandemic situation in Canada, 24% of Canadians are worried about their safety when voting in the upcoming federal election.”

For the complete results and methodology, please visit the Leger Marketing website.

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