Conservatives would have a better shot at winning with Stephen Harper as leader

A study by Initiative Research has taken a look at how the Conservatives would be polling ahead of the next federal election in Canada if Stephen Harper were the CPC leader instead of Erin O’Toole. The unpopularity of Erin O’Toole has risen steadily since he became leader, with 56% of Canadians holding unfavourable views against him.

According to the poll, if Stephen Harper was the Conservative leader, the CPC would have 32% support, 5% lower than Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party, with 37% support.

Federal Polling If Stephen Harper Was CPC Leader:

LPC: 37%
CPC: 32%
NDP: 16%

Innovative Research / July 21, 2021 / n=834 / Online
— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) July 23, 2021

The same poll found that the Conservative party under Erin O’Toole had 27% support, 14% lower than Justin Trudeau and the Liberal Party, with 41% support.

Federal Polling:

LPC: 41% (+8)
CPC: 27% (-7)
NDP: 17% (+1)

Innovative Research / July 21, 2021 / n=834 / Online

(% Change With 2019 Election)

Check out all Federal polling on @338Canada at: https://t.co/7yXX9RtvEx
— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) July 23, 2021

It’s quite clear that, while the Conservative Party would have a better shot of beating Justin Trudeau with Stephen Harper as leader, neither he nor O’Toole would hold a reasonable chance of winning the next election. According to the CBC Poll Tracker, the Liberal Party has a 92% chance of winning the next election, and a 48% chance that it will be a majority government.

For more on the study by Initiative Research, please visit 338Canada.

For the latest news updates, please visit the News section.